When setting up the HD
981 oil rig in Vietnamese waters, China has targeted more than one goal. It has
tried to alleviate tensions, at the same time continue the East Sea de facto
occupation and its economic resource exploitation plans.
China wants to become the
"fourth player" in the internatinal political chessboard.
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This is also being used
to discover the Vietnamese attitude and American regional policies.
Facts were unclear when
China began setting up the oil rig in the Vietnamese exclusive economic zone
(EEZ). However, the news about the rig deployment turned up on local newspapers
on the occasion of the 60th of the Vietnam’s anniversary of Dien Bien Phu
victory.
The location where China
set up its oil rig is over 100 nautical miles away from Vietnamese Ly Son
Island, just 10 nautical miles far from the nearest island of the Hoang Sa
archipelago.
The attention paid by the
nations towards the offshore small islands increased after the 1982 United
Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea took effects.
Under the convention,
every island, once declared sovereign, would become a landmark to fix the
boundaries between the nations. As such, it helps extend the territorial waters
and make the EEZ larger.
The world is now facing a
serious shortage of energy, especially fossil fuels. The hotter economic
development a country has, the more serious the problem it faces.
This explains why the
tension at the small archipelagos has been escalating, and the tension tends to
be higher in the areas where there is a Chinese presence.
Why this moment?
Observers think that with
the deployment of the oil rig in the East Sea, the Chinese administration this
time does not intend to “go further” by carrying out military operations.
What China has done is
deploy the oil rig, protected by a lot of ships, and conducti violent actions –
crashing, colluding with Vietnamese boats. Meanwhile, the Chinese and
Vietnamese naval forces have been restrained and stand “on the sidelines”.
But why does China take
such actions at this moment?
Some analysts believe
that China deliberately “roused the waters” on the occasion of the Vietnam’s
60th anniversary of the Dien Bien Phu Victory. But this not the entire story.
The Chinese
administration is facing many internal problems. Tibet seems to be peaceful
with fewer self-immolation of Tibetan monks, but Xinjiang is getting “scorching
hot”.
China is facing a serious
social problem – the widening gap between the rich and the poor. This is the
reason behind a series of demonstrations launched by the workers in some
coastal cities.
The continued protests
against the administration from autonomous regions or from the Falun Gong
people have caused headaches for Chinese leaders.
Meanwhile, the fact that
a series of Chinese VIPs, including Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang, have been
brought into court recently also shows signs of internal difficulties.
Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia
and Tibet are the three biggest problems for China which cannot be easily
settled because these are matters of national independence and separatism.
Attempt to become the
“fourth player”
The most noteworthy political
issue so far this year is the conflict in in Ukraine and the joining of Crimea
Island to Russia.
After the events in
Crimea in May 2014, the world’s geopolitical chessboard has seen big changes. A
new formidable rival has turned up, Russia, to join the chessboard with the US
and the EU, which are considered the “veteran players”.
With its strong and determined
actions, Russia has conveyed a message to the world: “I am back”.
With the recent big
changes in the world, China cannot “stay outside” any more. The uncertainties
in the Eastern Ukraine – Crimea and the embarrassment of both the Europe and
the US all give China a great opportunity to take actions to become the “fourth
influence” on the world’s geopolitical chessboard.
China wants to see a
multi-polar world in the future, where China is a pole surrounded by
satellites, from close ones such as Hong Kong, Taiwan and South East Asian
countries.
Therefore, the Chinese
administration has been pursuing a special policy with inconsistent
international treatment. China needs Japanese investors and lays down the red
carpet to welcome investors from the country. However, it still stirs up the
dispute for Diaoyu/Senkaku. China vows to take back Taiwan, but it surely will
never do this with military operations.
China this time does not
aim to provoke the Philippines or Japan, the two countries which have received
US President Barack Obama.
With one saw – HD 981 –
China attempts to cut many trees. It tries to alleviate the domestic tense
situation, continue the East Sea de facto occupation and economic resource
exploitation plans.
Source: VNN